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Pakistan's Power Struggle: Shehbaz's New Government, Munir's Army, and the Drone Question Define the Future.
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Pakistan finds itself at a critical juncture in May 2025, grappling with a complex interplay of political leadership, military influence, and escalating regional tensions. The civilian government, led by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, is navigating a challenging landscape marked by economic instability, internal security threats, and a fragile political environment. Simultaneously, the military, under the command of Chief of Army Staff General Asim Munir, wields considerable power, shaping both domestic and foreign policy. Recent events, including heightened conflict with India and the modernization of Pakistan's drone program, underscore the intricate dynamics at play in the nation's power structure.

Shehbaz Sharif's tenure as Prime Minister has been fraught with difficulties since assuming office in February 2024. The greatest challenge facing Sharif’s government is the crisis arising from the incarceration of former Prime Minister Imran Khan and the disputed results of general elections, held in February 2024. Khan, who leads the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI or Pakistan Justice Movement), has been in prison since May 2023 and currently faces more than 100 charges ranging from corruption to the instigation of violence. Despite some progress in securing financial assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and implementing economic reforms, the country continues to face significant economic headwinds, with many citizens feeling the pinch of rising prices.

Adding to the government's woes, Pakistan's security situation has deteriorated, with a surge in militant violence across the country. The Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) has strengthened its presence in several districts and the rise of sectarian violence poses a threat to national stability. These internal security challenges, coupled with external threats, have placed immense pressure on the Sharif administration.

Amidst these challenges, the role of the military, led by General Asim Munir, remains prominent. The military has been a dominant force in Pakistani politics for decades, and its influence extends to various spheres of governance, including the economy and foreign policy. While the military is constitutionally subordinate to civilian authority, it has often acted as a political actor, shaping the country's trajectory.

General Asim Munir, appointed as the Chief of Army Staff in November 2022, has consolidated his power by purging dissenters and extending his tenure. He has also been a key figure in the modernization of Pakistan's military, including the expansion of its drone capabilities. Pakistan has made significant strides in developing and acquiring unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) for various purposes, including military operations, intelligence gathering, and counterterrorism efforts. Pakistan is moving full steam ahead in developing its own drone industry with the latest technology on the market.

Recent events have further highlighted the complex dynamics between the civilian government and the military. The recent escalation of tensions with India, including cross-border strikes and accusations of supporting terrorist activities, has put the Sharif government in a precarious position. The military's response to these events, including claims of shooting down Indian jets and retaliating against Indian military installations, has underscored its role as the primary defender of Pakistan's territorial integrity.

The situation is further complicated by the ongoing power struggle between the military, Imran Khan, and Shehbaz Sharif's government. Khan, who alleges a US-backed conspiracy, challenges the status quo from prison, while Sharif grapples with economic woes and security threats amidst a legitimacy crisis. This interplay of forces, coupled with the influence of US foreign policy and the Pakistani diaspora, adds further complexity to the nation's political landscape.

As Pakistan navigates these turbulent times, the need for civil-military cooperation and a focus on long-term stability is paramount. The country's political actors must engage in policy-driven discussions rather than resorting to inflammatory rhetoric, and the military must acknowledge its constitutional boundaries and ensure that its involvement in governance remains within its prescribed role. Only through a concerted effort to address the underlying issues and foster a more stable and secure environment can Pakistan hope to achieve its full potential.


Writer - Krishnan Patel
Krishnan's curiosity about the business world is guiding his early reporting on local economies and startups. He's eager to understand the dynamics of commerce and how they impact the community he serves.
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